I am getting tired of the refrain about middle class tax cuts
and tax cuts for the wealthy.
First, no matter how often I have said this before, it bears repeating: You are rich if you have a lot of wealth. Having high pre-tax income does not automatically make you rich, because wealth is what you can save out of that income. What you can save out of that income is limited by what you are left with after you have paid your taxes.
People who are already rich have little to fear from higher tax rates on their income. They have armies of accountants who can shape the future flow of income to minimize their tax liability.
People who would like to improve their living standards beyond mere existence are the people who will be most hurt by higher taxes on the fruits of their labor.
That aside, let's think for a little bit (I know, most people are not used to actually thinking about these things, so it might be hard, but, please try).
The Democrats and the press would like you to believe that somehow the federal income tax rates that were effective during the Clinton years are the one true tax schedule that must be brought back. Fortunately, you can find the federal income tax brackets in effect since 1913 courtesy of the Tax Foundation.
Note that tax rates apply to AGI income after all deductions, exemptions, deductions etc are taken out.
In 1989, before Bush Sr. broke his Read my lips: No new taxes
promise by introducing a new tax bracket, there were only two tax brackets: For single individuals, first $18,550 ($32,718 in today's dollars) was subject to a 15% tax rate) and income above that was subject to a 28% tax rate.
That is the benchmark for simplicity. Every subsequent change introduced more brackets, more offsets and credits and subsidies and general tinkering.
Those rates coupled with a much more open trade policy enabled so much innovation that their cumulative effects were able to withstand Clinton tax increases.
You can basically trace back the IT revolution to a few key points. The primary one must be the historical accident of IBM choosing to use a fairly open architecture for its PC and license the operating system from Microsoft followed by a close second of a failure of companies such as Texas Instruments to get the government to enforce high tariffs on DRAM chips imported from Asian tigers.
However, regardless of these historical accidents, if the marginal tax rates of 70% on income above $108,300 (about $287,000 in today's dollars) had remained in effect, there would have been precious little incentive for smart and creative individuals to take the risks they took. Instead, they would have followed their friends into other safe occupations with large conglomerates like many others did in the previous decades.
Of course, if those rates had remained in effect, if U.S. chip companies had been able to prevent cheap imported microchips from Asian countries, we would never have known what benefits we would have missed from not having the Internet revolution.
No one in government and even people who were involved in these industries that have been engines of growth for the past two decades, could have known in 1980 where these innovations would have led us. The IT revolution was not destiny. It was fostered in an environment of high returns to innovation and entrepreneurship with availability of cheap, commodity hardware which allowed individuals to break free from the chains of giant corporations.
By the time Clinton enacted higher tax rates, the avalanche, the tidal wave, whatever you might want to call it, was already in motion. It wasn't that Clinton's tax regime generated economic growth. Rather, it was unable to stand in its way.
There is nothing inherently right about the Clinton tax regime. It cannot be the benchmark for deciding what should be done in the future.
The government's role in a properly functioning market economy is to enforce law and provide for national defense.
That is the kind of environment that grows the size of the pie for everyone instead providing incentives for people to fight over the size of their slice of a shrinking pie and waste resources in the process.
No matter what the outcome of the game that is being played among the president, the Democrats and the Republicans today, rest assured that there will be no cuts in tax rates for anyone.
The choice that is being forced on us is between continuing the current, complicated tax system versus keeping the current complicated tax system and enacting higher tax rates on some or all individuals, especially the ones who generate most of the innovation in the economy.
If we are supposed to choose some past tax rates as the benchmark by which all future decisions are to be evaluated, let's go back to the tax rates in effect in 1989.
Two simple brackets. No micro-managing individuals' choices with a tax credit for this, a tax subsidy for that, a deduction for some other special decision. Free and open trade with pretty much any country. That is a recipe for growth.
The evidence is there if you are not afraid to see it.