According to a Quinnipiac poll released on October 2, 2012, almost no one thinks the state of the economy is excellent, and 81% think that it is either "not good" or "poor":
21. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Excellent - - 1% 1% - 1% - 2% Good 17 5 31 17 17 18 13 39 Not so good 38 22 56 36 35 42 37 49 Poor 43 73 12 46 47 40 49 9 DK/NA - - 1 - - - - 1
In addition, 60% think it is not getting better:
22. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Better 39% 7% 75% 36% 37% 42% 33% 79% Worse 34 62 7 35 35 33 39 6 The same 26 30 18 29 27 24 28 15 DK/NA 1 - - - - 1 - -
Of course, Politico choose to run with the gender gap using the headline Poll: Obama leads 18 points among women.
However, looking at the tabulations above, we see that 82% of women think the state of the economy is "not good" or "poor", and 57% of them don't think it's getting better.
So, let's look at that gender gap again:
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney?
LIKELY VOTERS............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 49% 7% 94% 45% 42% 56% 42% 94% Romney 45 91 5 47 52 38 53 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 4 3 1 2 1 DK/NA 4 2 2 5 3 5 3 3
On the other hand, among White women, support for Obama is 49% versus 46% support for Romney. Where is the 56% - 38% gap coming from? Logically, it must come from non-white voters who already have a uniformly high preference for Obama.
Therefore, the driver of the "gender gap" must be something other than just gender.
The second quarter real GDP growth rate was revised downward from 1.7% to 1.3%, reflecting a 24% downward revision.
A 1.3% growth rate is pitiful. It demonstrates once more the anemic recovery fairy tale.
This is important because every problem, including women being able to choose exactly what type of birth control to use or not use is solved much more easily in a growing and vibrant economy.
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